Mohamad hossein Ghaemi; Taher Eskandarli
Volume 10, Issue 40 , January 2014, , Pages 53-75
Abstract
This paper studies the behavior of managers in annual Earnings Forecasts. According to SEC regulations, annual earnings forecasts for companies listed in Tehran the Stock Exchange are mandated but manager have considerable latitude over the numbers they release. In this study has been investigated the ...
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This paper studies the behavior of managers in annual Earnings Forecasts. According to SEC regulations, annual earnings forecasts for companies listed in Tehran the Stock Exchange are mandated but manager have considerable latitude over the numbers they release. In this study has been investigated the management bias in annual earnings forecast and effect of the three-variable: past performance, management approach in last year's forecast earnings, and type of ownership of listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange. In this study Management bias is measured by using two criteria, forecast innovation and forecast errors. The sample includes the 1135announcements of annual earnings forecasts during the period 1386-1390 (Iranian Calendar). The analysis performed shows, managers initial forecast optimism is inversely related to firm performance, and is more pronounced for firms with higher levels ownership, and with a history of forecast optimism.
